Tuesday, March 3, 2015

The Situation

The Numbers

CBSSports RPI:  35
ESPN BPI:  27
CBS Bracketology:  9 seed
ESPN Bracketology:   8 seed
 
The Resume

Good Wins:  @Chattanooga, Seton Hall, @Kansas State, Florida, Ole Miss, @Texas A&M, @Alabama, @Ole Miss
Bad Losses:  @Georgia Tech, Auburn, South Carolina

The Schedule

Potential Top 50 Wins:  Kentucky
Potential Bad Losses:  @Auburn

What It All Means

You probably didn't notice, but Chattanooga sneaked into the RPI top 100 this week.  Georgia's record vs. the top 50 and top 100 is 3-4 and 10-7, respectively.  That's pretty good!  Jerry Palm has them in the tournament and off the bubble, too.  That's also good!

The win over Missouri hurt Georgia's RPI (that's how bad they are), but not nearly as much as a loss would have.  At this point, it's hard to see Georgia being excluded from the tournament, even if they lose three in a row.  That doesn't mean it couldn't happen, of course.  Things like conference tournament upsets can shrink the bubble in a hurry.  That's why it would really behoove Georgia to win at least one more game.

If that win comes tonight, we can start talking about seeding.  It's conceivable that Georgia could fight all the way up to a 6 seed if they beat Kentucky and Auburn and won a game in the SEC Tournament.  That's not likely to happen.

It's far more likely that Georgia beats either Auburn or their first SEC Tournament opponent and enters the tournament as an 8 or 9 seed.  That is, of course, less than ideal if you're interested in advancing to the Sweet 16, but the way things have gone for this program and this team, I'll take it.

 

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