Tuesday, February 24, 2015

The situation

The Numbers

CBSSports RPI:  37
ESPN BPI:  30
CBS Bracketology:  10 seed (on the bubble)
ESPN Bracketology:   9 seed
 
The Resume

Good Wins:  Seton Hall, @Kansas State, Florida, Ole Miss, Tennessee, @Texas A&M, @Alabama
Bad Losses:  @Georgia Tech, Auburn, South Carolina

The Schedule

Potential Top 50 Wins:  @Ole Miss, Kentucky
Potential Bad Losses:  Missouri, @Auburn

What It All Means

Georgia Tech had a chance to do Georgia a pretty big favor last night by beating the shorthanded Louisville Cardinals and potentially working their way back into the top 100.  Instead, they blew a 13-point second half lead and lost at home.

Fortunately, Kansas State did what Tech could not.  They beat Kansas at home and slid right back into the top 100.

One of the best things Georgia has going for them is their record in true road games:  6-4.  The committee cares about this, and a road win early in the season (Kansas State) holds just as much weight as a bad loss at home late in the season (Auburn).

You'll also notice the ESPN BPI looks a little better than the RPI.  That's because BPI takes injuries into account, and it's hard to talk about this Georgia team without mentioning the injuries.  Regardless of how you feel about Mark Fox, the season would probably look quite different had a few guys stayed healthy.

I continue to believe a win over Missouri and any other team (in the regular season) will get Georgia into the tournament.  If Georgia goes 1-3, then they'll enter the SEC tournament with work to do.  If they lose to Missouri, they're likely out unless they beat Kentucky and win a game on the road.

This is all speculation, of course.  The good news is that Georgia is in the hunt.  The bad news is there is work to be done, and it just shouldn't have to be this way...

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