The Numbers
The Resume
The Schedule
What It All Means
How painful the loss to Auburn was depends on where you look. CBS seems to think Georgia should be punished, pushing them from a virtual tournament lock all the way to a bubble team. ESPN, on the other hand, says this:
Part of the problem is the continued decline of teams like Seton Hall and Georgia Tech.
The Pirates were a big-time resume win at the time, but they are in the midst of a total meltdown (even punching an opponent last night). Georgia Tech, despite a recent win over Clemson, seems firmly entrenched over 100 at this point. Auburn, due to a win over a highly-ranked opponent on the road (ugh), got a nice RPI bump, but they are not going to crack the top 100. Kansas State is barely hanging on, currently at 99. Colorado is merely average.
I still think any combination of 3 more wins gets Georgia comfortably into the tournament. That means either a home win over Kentucky or a road win at Bama or Ole Miss. None of those are easy, even with a full roster (which Georgia does not have).
The dream before Saturday was a 6-seed. That puts you in a nice position to do some damage and advance to the Sweet 16. Now, barring a red hot finish, it's hard to see anything better than a 7-seed.
But now is not the time to worry about seeding. Now is the time to get into the tournament. A win tonight is a must. Some help from others would be nice, too. Here are the teams you should be rooting for (unless they're playing Georgia, of course):
CBSSports RPI: 32
ESPN BPI: 25
CBS Bracketology: 9 seed (on the bubble)
ESPN Bracketology: 8 seed
The Resume
Good Wins: Seton Hall, Florida, Ole Miss, Tennessee, @Texas A&M
Bad Losses: @Georgia Tech, @South Carolina, Auburn
The Schedule
Potential Top 50 Wins: @Ole Miss, Kentucky, @Alabama
Potential Bad Losses: South Carolina, Missouri
What It All Means
Before this past weekend, Georgia built a strong enough resume that Saturday's 69-68 home loss to Auburn wasn't enough to make a dent. That is a credit to the solidity of the resume on offer.I hope they're right, but I tend to think it was more damaging than that.
Part of the problem is the continued decline of teams like Seton Hall and Georgia Tech.
The Pirates were a big-time resume win at the time, but they are in the midst of a total meltdown (even punching an opponent last night). Georgia Tech, despite a recent win over Clemson, seems firmly entrenched over 100 at this point. Auburn, due to a win over a highly-ranked opponent on the road (ugh), got a nice RPI bump, but they are not going to crack the top 100. Kansas State is barely hanging on, currently at 99. Colorado is merely average.
I still think any combination of 3 more wins gets Georgia comfortably into the tournament. That means either a home win over Kentucky or a road win at Bama or Ole Miss. None of those are easy, even with a full roster (which Georgia does not have).
The dream before Saturday was a 6-seed. That puts you in a nice position to do some damage and advance to the Sweet 16. Now, barring a red hot finish, it's hard to see anything better than a 7-seed.
But now is not the time to worry about seeding. Now is the time to get into the tournament. A win tonight is a must. Some help from others would be nice, too. Here are the teams you should be rooting for (unless they're playing Georgia, of course):
- Ole Miss
- Texas A&M
- Kansas State
- Minnesota
- Georgia Tech
- Auburn (ugh)
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