Tuesday, February 3, 2015

The situation

The Numbers

CBSSports RPI:  28
ESPN BPI:  25
CBS Bracketology:  8 seed
ESPN Bracketology:   8 seed
 
The Resume
 
Good Wins:  Colorado, Seton Hall, @Kansas State, Florida, Ole Miss
Bad Losses:  @Georgia Tech, @South Carolina

The Schedule

Potential Top 50 Wins:  Ole Miss, Kentucky (twice), Tennessee, Texas A&M, Alabama
Potential Bad Losses:  Auburn, Missouri

What It All Means

The loss to South Carolina wasn't all that damaging, and it will be even less so if the Gamecocks can scratch their way into the top 100.  Georgia Tech is also right on the cusp of being a top 100 team.  A heartbreaking loss at the buzzer to N.C. State is the difference right now.

Also, as I predicted, Ole Miss has clawed their way back into the top 50.  Florida is threatening to do the same, currently sitting at 57.

Barring an epic meltdown, Georgia is a lock for the postseason at this point.

As far as the NCAA Tournament goes, Georgia is still ok, and they will still be ok after an almost certain loss tonight in Rupp.  I think if the Bulldogs win 6 of their remaining games they are a lock for the tournament.  They may even be ok winning 5 as long as they avoid losing at home to Auburn or South Carolina or on the road at Missouri.

The games against Tennessee and at Texas A&M are huge.  If Georgia can find a way to sweep those, we might start talking about playing for a seed instead of just playing to get in.

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