Thursday, February 12, 2015

The situation

How odd has this week been?  I completely forgot to do the "situation" post on Tuesday.  Instead, I posted a game card for the Texas A&M game which I thought was going to be played that night.  I actually panicked when I couldn't find the game on TV at 7.

So, hey, I'm an idiot.  But better late than never, right?

The Numbers

CBSSports RPI:  22
ESPN BPI:  21
CBS Bracketology:  9 seed
ESPN Bracketology:   8 seed

The Resume

Good Wins:  Seton Hall, Florida, Ole Miss, Tennessee, @Texas A&M
Bad Losses:  @Georgia Tech, @South Carolina

The Schedule

Potential Top 50 Wins:  @Ole Miss, Kentucky, @Alabama
Potential Bad Losses:  Auburn, South Carolina, Missouri

What It All Means

The two bad losses are probably here to stay.  Georgia Tech is hovering right outside the top 100 after a (terrible) loss to Virginia Tech, and their schedule is brutal the rest of the way.  South Carolina finds itself in a similar situation.  If they beat us, their RPI would probably sneak back inside the top 100, but we'll hope that doesn't happen.

The ceiling for this team remains very high.  If they were to win out, they could conceivably end up as a 3 or 4 seed (not going to happen).  If they lose out, they could find themselves in the NIT (also not going to happen).

Winning one of the remaining road games and avoiding a home loss to Missouri are key.  Do those two things, and the only drama on selection Sunday will be where the Dawgs are seeded.

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