Friday, January 29, 2016

The Situation



Sorry I never got a post mortem up for the LSU game.  In short: Ben Simmons is legit, and he's getting the star treatment from the officials, Johnny Jones it not legit and squandered an opportunity to squash the Bulldogs, J.J. Frazier is a gamer, and Mark Fox needs to go back to the drawing board on the offensive side of the ball.

The Numbers

CBSSports RPI:  75
ESPN BPI:  54
RPIForecast.com:  75
CBS Bracketology:  Out
ESPN Bracketology:   N/A
 
The Resume

Good Wins:  Georgia Tech, Clemson, Arkansas
Bad Losses:  None

The Schedule

Potential Top 50 Wins:  @Baylor, South Carolina, @Kentucky, Florida, @Vanderbilt, @South Carolina, Alabama
Potential Bad Losses:  Auburn, @Mississippi State, @Auburn, Ole Miss

What It All Means

Georgia is not going to the NCAA Tournament.

No, I can't state that as fact.  They're not mathematically eliminated...in fact, in an automatic berth conference, teams rarely are (I'm looking at you, Missouri).

However, nothing I've seen leads me to believe that Georgia can win enough games to get into the dance.  That's ironic considering just how close they've been.  Hit one more free throw and get a goaltending call and Georgia is sitting squarely on the bubble.  Neither of those things happened, though, nor could the Bulldogs close out a sure win in Oxford or complete a miracle comeback in Baton Rouge.  It all adds up to a team that, at best, will be hoping for an NIT berth in March.

The three "good" wins on Georgia's resume are barely that...Clemson is close to falling back out of the top 100.  The lack of bad losses is admirable, but not enough to excite the committee.  There are plenty of chances, of course.  Eight more wins gets Georgia in the conversation and any nine punches their ticket.  I just don't see a team poised to finish 9-2, especially with the upcoming schedule.  Do you?

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