The situation

Welcome back to "The situation," a series of posts tracking my completely ignorant takes on Georgia's postseason hopes.  I will try, and fail, to post this every Thursday.

 
The Numbers

CBSSports RPI:  63

ESPN BPI:  46
RPIForecast.com:  93

CBS Bracketology:  Out

ESPN Bracketology:   N/A

 
The Resume

Good Wins:  Georgia Tech

Bad Losses:  None

The Schedule

Potential Top 50 Wins:  Texas A&M, @Baylor, South Carolina, @Kentucky, Florida, @Vanderbilt, @South Carolina

Potential Bad Losses:  Legion

What It All Means

If the tournament started today, Georgia would almost certainly be excluded and may even be a bubble NIT team.  Fortunately for college basketball fans everywhere, it doesn't.  There's a long way to go.

The lack of bad losses helps the Dawgs, but Georgia really, really needs a few top 50 wins.  Beating the teams you're supposed to beat is a big part of the battle, but it never hurts to spring an upset or two.

Meanwhile, the 2-point losses to Chattanooga and Kansas State really hurt, not because they're bad losses (yet), but because each of those teams is likely to finish the year as a top 100 team in the RPI.  Oh well.  Water under the bridge, and all.

The path to the dance is not an easy one.  The schedule is difficult (look at how many of those potential top 50 wins are away from Stegeman).  11 wins - and avoiding road losses to Missouri and Mississippi State - probably gets it done.  But can you find 11 more wins on the schedule?  I'm an eternal optimist, and I'm struggling to do so...