Tuesday, January 20, 2015

The situation

I'm going to try to start posting Tuesday updates on where things stand re: making the NCAA tournament.  Today's update will be a lot better than if I had started this practice a week ago...

The Numbers

CBSSports RPI:  28
ESPN BPI:  24
CBS Bracketology:  10 seed
ESPN Bracketology:   10 seed
 
The Resume
 
Good Wins:  Stony Brook, @Colorado, Seton Hall, @Kansas State, Florida
Bad Losses:  None, although Minnesota and Georgia Tech are too close for comfort.

The Schedule

Potential Top 50 Wins:  Ole Miss (twice), Kentucky (twice), Tennessee, Texas A&M, Alabama
Potential Bad Losses:  Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Missouri

What It All Means

The biggest difference between this year and last year is the remaining schedule strength.  Georgia's biggest problem last year was not bad losses, but a lack of wins against top 50 teams.  They only had two, both against Missouri.

Much of that had to do with how weak the SEC was in general.  Things are different this year.  Georgia has no fewer than 7 games left against teams that could realistically finish in the top 50.  If they even win 4/7 of those games, and they avoid a few pitfalls, Georgia should be fine.

If the season ended today, Georgia would definitely be in the NCAA tournament.

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