Monday, October 20, 2014

Player profiles: what it all means

We've finished our rundown of your 2014-15 Georgia basketball team, complete with glass-half-full thinking, wild, unfounded speculation, and uneducated fan rambling.  If that's your sort of thing, here are the links:

Guards:
Charles Mann
Kenny Gaines
Juwan Parker
J.J. Frazier
Kenny Paul Geno
Brandon Young


Forwards/Centers:
Marcus Thornton
Yante Maten
Nemanja DjurisicOsahen Iduwe
Cameron Forte
Houston KesslerDusan Langura

But what does it all mean?

Here's a table laying out all my statistical guesses:

Player
Minutes
Points
Rebounds
Assists
Blocks
Charles Mann
26
12.4
4.2
4.1
0
Kenny Gaines
26.5
15.4
2.6
1
0.5
Marcus Thornton
27
9.9
7.4
0.3
1.4
Yante Maten
16.7
6.1
5.3
0.1
0.9
Juwan Parker
20.5
7.3
3.2
1.6
0
Nemanja Djurisic
23
8.1
4.1
0.8
0.3
J.J. Frazier
15
6.5
1.1
2.3
0
Osahen Iduwe
11
1.5
3.2
0
1.7
Cameron Forte
13.5
5.1
4.7
0.6
0.3
Taylor Echols
6.3
1.1
0.3
0.6
0
Kenny Paul Geno
8.3
1.9
1
0.1
0.1
Houston Kessler
2.5
0.2
0.5
0.1
0
Dusan Langura
2.5
0.7
0
0.1
0
Brandon Young
1.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0

200
76.4
37.7
11.8
5.2

A few notes:
  1. Minutes per game are averaged out over a season.  In other words, I don't expect Brandon Young to play 1 minute in every single game.  Instead, I expect him to eat up about 1 out of every 200 game minutes, meaning he'll play 3 or 4 minutes in a few games, and 0 minutes in others.
  2. 76.4 points/game would have tied Georgia for #47 in the country last year.
  3. 37.7 rebounds/game would have tied Georgia for #41 in the country last year.
  4. 11.8 assists/game would have tied Georgia for #241 in the country last year which, sadly, would be a huge improvement.
  5. 5.2 blocks/game would have tied Georgia for #30 in the country last year.
Considering the style of basketball Georgia plays under Mark Fox, top 50 in scoring may be asking a bit too much.  However, the farther north of 70 points/game that number goes, the more likely Georgia is having a great season.

The good news for Georgia is that, in the end, basketball is not a complicated sport:  get good looks, don't turn the ball over, and don't give up offensive rebounds.

The first two points fall squarely on the shoulders of Charles Mann and, to a lesser extent, Kenny Gaines.  The third is on Marcus Thornton and his two young understudies.  Now ask yourself:  do you have faith that they can get it done?

I do, which is why I expect nothing less than a tournament berth this season.  What about you?

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